Ars Pharmaceuticals Stock Performance

SPRY Stock   9.11  0.24  2.71%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.85, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, ARS Pharmaceuticals will likely underperform. At this point, ARS Pharmaceuticals has a negative expected return of -0.0927%. Please make sure to confirm ARS Pharmaceuticals' kurtosis, market facilitation index, and the relationship between the semi variance and rate of daily change , to decide if ARS Pharmaceuticals performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ARS Pharmaceuticals has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, ARS Pharmaceuticals is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(3.27)
Five Day Return
(3.90)
Year To Date Return
(22.80)
Ten Year Return
(64.52)
All Time Return
(64.52)
1
Can ARS Pharmaceuticals Inc. stock hit record highs again - July 2025 Setups Verified Trade Idea Suggestions - Blm Sonu Canavar
12/19/2025
2
Bad News For Competitor Turns Into Big Win For ARS Pharma Stock
01/09/2026
3
Does Chinas First Community Epinephrine Spray Approval Reshape the Bull Case for ARS Pharmaceuticals
01/16/2026
4
California K-12 Schools Now Eligible for neffyinSchools Program, Offering Needle-Free Epinephrine at No Cost for Emergency Use
01/21/2026
5
EURneffy 1 mg Recommended for Approval in the EU for Emergency Treatment of Type 1 Allergic Reactions, including Anaphylaxis in Children Weighing 15 kg to 30 kg
02/02/2026
6
Brokerages Set ARS Pharmaceuticals, Inc. PT at 33.00
02/03/2026
7
ARS Pharmaceuticals to Showcase Scientific Innovation and Robust Clinical Data on neffy at 2026 American Academy of Allergy, Asthma and Immunology Annual Scient...
02/10/2026
8
How Recent Regulatory Twists Are Reframing The Story For ARS Pharmaceuticals - Yahoo Finance
02/18/2026
9
ARS Pharmaceuticals Announces Conference Call and Webcast for its Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results and Participation at Upcoming Conferences
02/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow71 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-106.1 M
Free Cash Flow13 M

ARS Pharmaceuticals Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  997.00  in ARS Pharmaceuticals on December 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (110.00) from holding ARS Pharmaceuticals or give up 11.03% of portfolio value over 90 days. ARS Pharmaceuticals is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.6021% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 41% of stocks are less volatile than ARS, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ARS Pharmaceuticals is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.02 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.03 per unit of volatility.

ARS Pharmaceuticals Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ARS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.11 90 days 9.11 
about 89.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ARS Pharmaceuticals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.74 (This ARS Pharmaceuticals probability density function shows the probability of ARS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.85 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ARS Pharmaceuticals will likely underperform. Additionally ARS Pharmaceuticals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ARS Pharmaceuticals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ARS Pharmaceuticals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ARS Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.308.9013.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.9813.7218.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.248.8413.44
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
26.2428.8332.00
Details

ARS Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ARS Pharmaceuticals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ARS Pharmaceuticals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ARS Pharmaceuticals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ARS Pharmaceuticals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.85
σ
Overall volatility
0.90
Ir
Information ratio -0.0037

ARS Pharmaceuticals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ARS Pharmaceuticals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ARS Pharmaceuticals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ARS Pharmaceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ARS Pharmaceuticals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
ARS Pharmaceuticals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: ARS Pharmaceuticals Announces Conference Call and Webcast for its Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results and Participation at Upcoming Conferences

ARS Pharmaceuticals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ARS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ARS Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ARS Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding102.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments314 M

ARS Pharmaceuticals Fundamentals Growth

ARS Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ARS Pharmaceuticals, and ARS Pharmaceuticals fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ARS Stock performance.

About ARS Pharmaceuticals Performance

Evaluating ARS Pharmaceuticals' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if ARS Pharmaceuticals has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if ARS Pharmaceuticals has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 83.29  74.03 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.04  0.03 

Things to note about ARS Pharmaceuticals performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about ARS Pharmaceuticals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ARS Pharmaceuticals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ARS Pharmaceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ARS Pharmaceuticals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
ARS Pharmaceuticals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: ARS Pharmaceuticals Announces Conference Call and Webcast for its Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results and Participation at Upcoming Conferences
Evaluating ARS Pharmaceuticals' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate ARS Pharmaceuticals' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing ARS Pharmaceuticals' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ARS Pharmaceuticals' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining ARS Pharmaceuticals' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating ARS Pharmaceuticals' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ARS Pharmaceuticals' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ARS Pharmaceuticals' stock. These opinions can provide insight into ARS Pharmaceuticals' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating ARS Pharmaceuticals' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact ARS Pharmaceuticals' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for ARS Stock Analysis

When running ARS Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure ARS Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ARS Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of ARS Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ARS Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ARS Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ARS Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.